Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.004551 0.005038 0.005542 0.006101 0.006704 0.007333 0.008037
2025-06-08 0.003831 0.004533 0.005296 0.006183 0.007183 0.008270 0.009538
2025-06-15 0.003436 0.004267 0.005202 0.006325 0.007630 0.009089 0.010836
2025-06-22 0.003160 0.004087 0.005163 0.006489 0.008069 0.009875 0.012082
2025-06-29 0.002797 0.003762 0.004915 0.006373 0.008150 0.010224 0.012806
2025-07-06 0.002556 0.003562 0.004794 0.006387 0.008367 0.010719 0.013696
2025-07-13 0.002311 0.003334 0.004618 0.006314 0.008463 0.011058 0.014390
2025-07-20 0.002114 0.003152 0.004484 0.006280 0.008594 0.011431 0.015123
2025-07-27 0.001932 0.002974 0.004343 0.006222 0.008684 0.011746 0.015782
2025-08-03 0.001832 0.002901 0.004332 0.006329 0.008982 0.012322 0.016770
2025-08-10 0.001663 0.002719 0.004162 0.006214 0.008983 0.012513 0.017270
2025-08-17 0.001558 0.002620 0.004100 0.006238 0.009161 0.012931 0.018060
2025-08-24 0.001513 0.002608 0.004161 0.006435 0.009581 0.013677 0.019296
2025-08-31 0.001434 0.002541 0.004139 0.006515 0.009843 0.014220 0.020278
2025-09-07 0.001382 0.002510 0.004167 0.006663 0.010198 0.014889 0.021433
2025-09-14 0.001341 0.002493 0.004212 0.006834 0.010585 0.015606 0.022660
2025-09-21 0.001225 0.002349 0.004060 0.006713 0.010559 0.015763 0.023140
2025-09-28 0.001152 0.002270 0.004003 0.006727 0.010721 0.016174 0.023963
2025-10-05 0.001064 0.002159 0.003890 0.006651 0.010750 0.016400 0.024537
2025-10-12 0.000991 0.002070 0.003806 0.006616 0.010833 0.016699 0.025211
2025-10-19 0.000919 0.001976 0.003710 0.006555 0.010876 0.016940 0.025806
2025-10-26 0.000887 0.001952 0.003725 0.006666 0.011172 0.017540 0.026903
2025-11-02 0.000812 0.001843 0.003596 0.006547 0.011121 0.017645 0.027311